Delta´s Move Might Turn Out too Little, too Late for the Airline

godking
15 September 2005 6:00am

Delta Air Lines is downsizing its Cincinnati hub and cutting up to 1,000 area jobs, but it might be too little too late for the near-bankrupt airline, experts say.

It´s not clear how much savings Delta will realize from the cuts, but it´s doubtful it will be enough to keep it from filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, said Chris Lozier, an airline analyst with Morningstar in Chicago.

The move could be a last-ditch attempt to avoid bankruptcy or, more likely, part of a broader restructuring that would continue in Chapter 11 court proceedings, Lozier said.

Despite nearly completing a sweeping $5 billion restructuring plan announced last year, the company has continued to red ink. Though it eliminated Dallas as a hub and slashed thousands of jobs, pay and benefits, Delta grossly underestimated the price of fuel at $40 per barrel of crude oil this year. Instead, oil has hovered recently near $70, costing Delta millions extra and rubbing out much of the cost benefits achieved elsewhere.

As losses piled up to nearly $10 billion since 2000, Delta´s depleting cash reserves are the only thing keeping Cincinnati´s dominant carrier out of bankruptcy court. Analysts predict Delta´s cash pile could shrink to the point it must file Chapter 11 as early as this fall. Lozier said Delta is making necessary cuts where flights aren´t full enough to contribute toward overall profitability.

Delta might think the flight and job reductions are just enough to help carry it through a slow winter travel season, said Richard Gritta, a professor of economics who tracks the airline industry at the University of Portland, Ore.

Delta, which employs roughly 8,500 at the Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport in Hebron, Ky., and at its call center downtown, wouldn´t say how many of the 1,000 jobs affected by Wednesday´s announcement would be layoffs versus transfers.

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